讲座主题：Does it pay to trade protection: The Unintended Consequences of Antidumping

主讲嘉宾：张燕，上海财经大学经济学院教授

时间：2023年11月30日（周四）10:30-12:00

地点：澳门新莆京7906not沙河校区二教 207

主办：澳门新莆京7906not

致谢: 本讲座获得2023年澳门新莆京7906not专题学术讲座资助计划支持

讲座内容：

Recent studies have shown that trade liberalization is associated with an increase in crime and mortality rates. However, this paper argues that trade protection, which is often seen as a solution to these problems, can actually make them worse. Using a shift-share design, we capture the long-term overall effect of antidumping (AD) protection by examining both direct and downstream effects. We find robust evidence that U.S. counties with more downstream AD exposure experienced higher crime rates and more “deaths of despair”. In contrast, counties’ direct AD exposure did not have any significant effect. Deterioration of local labor markets and theworsening of workers’ mental health are two transmission channels for these detrimental effects.We further examine the cost of correcting the consequences of crime and mortality, and find that even complementary job markets and better unemployment insurance only partly alleviate these consequences, but cannot fundamentally reverse this situation. Overall, the losses of trade protection outweigh the gains, and trade protection is only one disaster after another in terms of the crime and mortality consequences.

嘉宾简介：

张燕，上海财经大学经济学院教授、博士生导师，香港大学经济学博士。主要研究领域为国际贸易。在国际一流经济学期刊《Journal of International Economics》、《Journal of Comparative Economics》、《Canadian Journal of Economics》等发表论文十多篇。先后获得安子介国际贸易研究奖、上海市第十五届哲学社会科学优秀成果奖项等。